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6/26
21:53
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the predict.fun prediction event for “World Cup Group G, Matchday 3: Belgium vs. New Zealand,” the probability of a Belgium victory is currently reported at 82%; the probability of a draw is currently reported at 12%; and the probability of a New Zealand victory is currently reported at 7%.
At 11:00 a.m. Beijing time today, Belgium will face New Zealand in Matchday 3 of Group G of the World Cup group stage. In this match, a win for Belgium secures their advancement, while a loss for New Zealand means elimination.
The Svmuu Seer Channel continuously monitors the prediction market, spotting changes before they are priced in.
21:45
Svmuu News: Robinhood has released a condensed version of its monthly operating data for June, covering the period from June 1 to June 25.
Stock trading volume reached $343 billion, breaking the previous record of $320 billion set in October 2025; cryptocurrency trading volume reached $13.9 billion—though still at a low level, it exceeded last month’s $12.2 billion; Prediction market trading volume reached 5.2 billion contracts, significantly surpassing the previous record of 3.9 billion contracts, with growth accelerating notably in the second half of the month following the start of the World Cup.
As of June 25, monthly stock trading volume on the Robinhood platform has significantly surpassed its previous record.
21:31
Svmuu News: David Hoffman, founder of Bankless, posted on X that he regrets not buying more Lighter (LIT).
Hoffman explained that the logic behind investing in Lighter is simple:
1. Exchanges have always been the best business model in the crypto industry;
2. Perpetual contracts remain a brand-new sector that is far from mature;
3. Building an exchange on a zkL2 foundation is currently the structurally optimal solution, offering high security, low operating costs, and high profit margins;
4. The product itself is the strongest on the market, with the lowest latency, the lowest execution costs, and complete transparency;
5. The engineering team is exceptionally capable and has overcome all technical challenges;
6. The company is headquartered in the U.S. and operates in compliance with regulations, and this market remains an under-captured blue ocean;
7. It also serves as an option to bet on the “tokenization of compliant assets”;
8. Founder Vlad is in the right circles, knows the right people, and has the ambition to make a big impact.
21:29
Svmuu News: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) recently launched an investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket, and the investigation is currently ongoing.
Previously, multiple parties—including a lawsuit filed by a consumer advocacy group in the Washington Superior Court—have accused Polymarket of using paid social media endorsements for misleading advertising and targeting college students. A Polymarket spokesperson responded that the company is committed to maintaining an accurate, fair, and transparent market and is currently conducting a comprehensive audit of its active promotional content to ensure compliance with standards and regulatory disclosure requirements. In addition, more than 12 U.S. states have taken legal action against Polymarket and Kalshi, accusing them of operating illegal sports betting, while the CFTC has filed counterclaims against some of the states and asserted exclusive jurisdiction. (FT)
21:29
1. Vance: If Iran resorts to violence, it will face a military response;
2. A newly created wallet received $38.64 million worth of ETH and HYPE from FalconX within 9 days;
3. CoinGecko: 80% of tokens on Pump.fun don’t last a day;
4. OpenAI launches the next-generation GPT-5.6 series of models, currently available for limited preview to a select group of partners;
5. Anthropic: Mythos 5 has been approved for redeployment to U.S. institutions, and the public version of FABLE 5 is set to resume shortly;
6. Former Google CTO Patrick Shyu liquidated his crypto holdings and stated that “Bitcoin” is over;
7. Garrett Jin’s 5x leveraged BTC long position is showing an unrealized loss of over $20.4 million;
8. Zuckerberg: Directed Meta to explore partnerships with Polymarket and Kalshi;
9. SpaceX (SPCX.O) will be added to the Nasdaq 100 Index on July 7, 2026;
10. Grayscale’s HYPE spot ETF has pledged 1.77 million HYPE tokens, valued at $114 million.
21:21
Svmuu News: The MiCA regulation will officially take effect on July 1, 2026. Crypto service providers that have not obtained this license will be unable to offer new services in the EU. To date, a total of 230 MiCA licenses have been issued across Europe, with Germany leading the way with 56, followed by the Netherlands with 26, France with 21, Malta with 15, Cyprus with 13, and Ireland with 12. In France, approximately 40% of regulated crypto service providers had not previously submitted license applications. These heightened compliance requirements have left some smaller, traditional crypto institutions facing the prospect of being acquired or going out of business. (lesechos)
21:12
Svmuu News: According to data from MSX.COM, at the close of U.S. markets, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.09%, the S&P 500 fell 0.05%, the Nasdaq Composites fell 0.24%, and the VIX fear index fell 1.18%.AI-related stocks saw widespread gains, with ServiceNow up 9.85%, Snowflake up 9.65%, Workday up 9.18%, UiPath up 6.04%, and The Trade Desk up 6%.
It is reported that MSX is a leading RWA trading platform that has listed hundreds of RWA tokens to date, covering popular U.S. stocks and ETF tokens such as NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, META, TSM, and AMD.
21:12
Svmuu News: After the U.S. military launched airstrikes against Iran on the 26th, U.S. Vice President Vance stated that same day that if Iran resorted to violence, it would inevitably face a military response. Vance posted on social media that day, saying: “Iran signed the ceasefire agreement, and we have honored it. If they have objections to how the memorandum of understanding is being implemented, they can call us directly to discuss it. But if they resort to violence, they will face a military response.” ” Earlier on the 26th, U.S. Central Command issued a statement saying that U.S. forces had launched strikes against Iran that day in response to the previous day’s attack on a merchant ship passing through the Strait of Hormuz. (Xinhua News Agency)
21:12
Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain’s monitoring, over the past 9 days, a newly created wallet has received 18,361 ETH from FalconX, worth $28.91 million, as well as 152,986 HYPE, worth $9.73 million.
20:55
Svmuu News: According to CoinGecko data, from January 2024 to June 2026, of the more than 18.67 million tokens created on the Pump.fun platform, 68.67% ceased trading on the day they were created. If tokens that survived for just one day are included, this proportion rises to 80.37%. Only 4.55% of tokens survived for more than 90 days. Since the barrier to entry for creating tokens on this platform is virtually nonexistent, most tokens are quickly abandoned after failing to garner sustained attention. This analysis covers trading data on Pump.fun’s bonding curve and does not include trading activity after tokens are migrated to external decentralized exchanges such as Raydium.
20:47
Svmuu News: OpenAI has officially launched a preview of its next-generation GPT-5.6 series of models, including the flagship model Sol, the balanced model Terra, and the fast, low-cost model Luna. GPT-5.6 introduces a new maximum inference effort and features a Super Mode that accelerates complex tasks through sub-agents. The models offer enhanced agent capabilities in areas such as coding, biology, and cybersecurity. In terms of pricing, calculated per 1 million tokens, Sol costs $5 for input and $30 for output; Terra costs $2.50 to input and $15.00 to output; Luna costs $1.00 to input and $6.00 to output.
The model is currently available for limited preview to a select group of trusted partners and is scheduled to be fully released in the coming weeks. Additionally, the model will be available on Cerebras in July.
20:39
Svmuu News: Anthropic: Since June 12, we have been working closely with the U.S. government to restore access to Claude Mythos 5 and FABLE 5. Today, the government has notified us that Mythos 5, our company’s most powerful cybersecurity model, can be redeployed to a number of U.S. agencies. We are continuing to work with the government to expand access to Mythos 5 and make FABLE 5 available to the public once again. (Jin Shi)
20:35
Svmuu News: Patrick Shyu announced in a YouTube video that he had sold all of his cryptocurrency holdings and suffered massive financial losses.Patrick Shyu stated that Bitcoin fell 50% from its peak of $120,000 last October to just over $60,000 this summer, and that excessive leverage left him mentally unprepared for the decline.
Patrick Shyu pointed out that liquidity in the current market is far lower than it was in 2021. He mentioned that Mt. Gox creditors received 35,000 Bitcoin and that MicroStrategy holds 850,000 Bitcoin, suggesting there may not be sufficient liquidity for everyone to exit.In addition, Patrick Shyu addressed the threat of quantum computing and the economic sustainability of network security following the reduction in mining rewards. However, at the end of the video, he stated that he remains bullish on the underlying technology in the long term and believes this video may signal a market bottom. (u.today)
20:29
Svmuu News: According to Onchain Lens, Garrett Jin’s long position of 1,268 BTC (5x leverage) is currently showing a floating loss of over $20.4 million as the BTC price hovers around $60,000.
20:29
Svmuu News: According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin, Grayscale (@Grayscale)’s HYPE spot ETF, HYPG (0x1Ab... 2e3) staked 1.77 million HYPE tokens—worth $114 million—5 hours ago.
20:24
Svmuu News: Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has urged his team to explore partnerships with prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi. Meanwhile, Meta is developing a prediction market-style app called Arena.
Executives said that Arena is currently in the internal testing phase and may not be released in the future; the app will rely on points similar to those in video games rather than accepting real-money bets. Meta aims to attract at least 100 million monthly active users for the app and plans to eventually integrate some of Arena’s features into Facebook and Messenger. (Reuters)
20:19
Svmuu News Nasdaq Exchange: SpaceX (SPCX.O) will be added to the Nasdaq 100 Index on July 7, 2026. (Jin Shi)
20:03
Svmuu News: U.S. Central Command stated that on June 26, U.S. forces carried out strikes against Iran in response to the previous day’s attack on a merchant ship passing through the Strait of Hormuz. On June 25, Iran used a one-way attack drone to strike the cargo ship “Ever Lovely.” U.S. warplanes subsequently struck Iranian missile and drone storage facilities, as well as coastal radar stations.
U.S. Central Command stated that the Iranian military’s actions against the merchant ship violated the ceasefire agreement and undermined freedom of navigation. U.S. Central Command forces will continue to coordinate and provide support for the safe passage of merchant ships transiting the Strait, while maintaining a presence and vigilance to ensure that agreements reached with Iran are observed and enforced.
20:02
Svmuu News: According to Onchain Lens, SharpLink Gaming purchased 5,000 ETH, worth $7.88 million. Over the past two days, it has cumulatively purchased 10,000 ETH, worth $15.73 million. It currently holds 886,300 ETH, valued at $1.4 billion, with an unrealized loss exceeding $1.7 billion. A newly created wallet, 0x643, purchased another 9,050 ETH from FalconX, worth $14.31 million. It currently holds 8,361 ETH, valued at $28.92 million.
20:02
Svmuu News: On Friday, the U.S. government lifted the ban on Anthropic’s AI model, Claude Mythos 5, allowing Anthropic to release the model to more than 100 U.S. organizations, including large corporations and government agencies.

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