Svmuu News: Data shows that, according to Federal Reserve, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 23%. Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged through September is 41.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 47.6% and that of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 10.5%.