Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.7%. Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged through September is 42.9%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 46.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 10.8%.